Forecast bias

Results: 73



#Item
51Earth / Sea ice / Climate / Remote sensing / Statistical forecasting / Sea ice concentration / Special sensor microwave/imager / Forecast bias / Atmospheric sciences / Radiometry / Meteorology

Seasonal sea ice forecast from NCEP CFSv2 I. Forecasts updated daily II. 40 ensemble members initialized  from the last 10 day (4 runs/day) III. Bias adjustment based on 1997‐2010  hindcasts

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Source URL: www.arctic.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2011-10-07 12:58:30
52Science / Statistics / Lee-Carter model / Life expectancy / FORECAST / Prediction / Specification / Actuarial science / Demography / Population

Assessing systematic bias in mortality prediction of the Lee-Carter model Defang Wu, Xiaoming Liu, Hao Yu Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science University of Western Ontario, London Ontario, Canada

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Source URL: umanitoba.ca

Language: English - Date: 2014-08-19 17:09:14
53Weather Research and Forecasting model / Quantitative precipitation forecast / MM5 / Rapid update cycle / QPF / Precipitation / Rain / Spaghetti plot / National Weather Service / Atmospheric sciences / Meteorology / Weather prediction

EXAMINING A SOUTHWARD BIAS IN LAKE-EFFECT SNOW BAND FORECASTS IN THE NORTHEAST REGIONAL ENSEMBLE Justin Arnott NOAA/National Weather Service

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Source URL: nwas.org

Language: English - Date: 2011-11-17 21:07:01
54Prediction / Statistical forecasting / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Forecasting / Global Forecast System / Model output statistics / National Weather Service / Forecast bias / Brier score / Atmospheric sciences / Weather prediction / Meteorology

Microsoft Word - goff_final_ta.doc

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Source URL: www.erh.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2004-10-08 09:04:07
55Meteorology / Statistical forecasting / Weather prediction / Computational science / Bayesian statistics / Forecast bias / Data assimilation / Forecasting / Global climate model / Statistics / Atmospheric sciences / Estimation theory

Final Report on “Using Initial Tendency Errors to Reduce Systematic Errors, Identify Model Errors, and Construct Stochastic Parameterizations” Investigator: Recipient Name: Award Number:

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Source URL: www.cpc.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2011-03-03 10:55:16
56Time series analysis / Data analysis / Forecasting / Call volume / Demand / Forecast bias / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistical forecasting / Statistics / Prediction

The Channel For Industry Information Forecast Focus Myths and Truths

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Source URL: www.humannumbers.com

Language: English - Date: 2011-03-05 18:00:04
57Design of experiments / Hypothesis testing / Psychometrics / Statistical hypothesis testing / Forecasting / International Monetary Fund / Forecast bias / Unit root / Statistics / Statistical forecasting / Time series analysis

PDF Document

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Source URL: www.cepr.org

Language: English - Date: 2014-03-26 11:52:00
58Future / Consensus forecast / Forecast bias / Forecasting / Economic forecasting / Statistical forecasting / Prediction / Time

CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2010 Update

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Source URL: www.cbo.gov

Language: English - Date: 2010-07-15 15:24:18
59Prediction / Weather prediction / Weather Research and Forecasting model / Ensemble forecasting / Forecast bias / National Weather Service / Rapid update cycle / Forecasting / Brier score / Atmospheric sciences / Meteorology / Statistical forecasting

AUGUST[removed]RUDACK AND GHIRARDELLI 1161

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Source URL: www.nws.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2010-08-10 08:50:10
60Ensemble forecasting / Forecasting / Forecast bias / Forecast skill / Weather forecasting / Errors and residuals in statistics / Statistics / Statistical forecasting / Prediction

4.5 A STOCHASTIC PARAMETERIZATION SCHEME WITHIN NCEP GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM Dingchen Hou*, Zoltan Toth and Yuejian Zhu Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, Maryland

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Source URL: www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2009-09-29 14:00:37
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